Brave New Saw Wave World

Table of contents

1. Cover
2. Title Page
3. Contents
4. About the Author
5. Dedication
6. List of Illustrations
7. Preface
8. Chapter Preview
9. Prelude: Typical Day in the Life of the U.S. president in 2025
   1. The future that has arrived: Seedlings, not only seeds
   2. The value of reversed scenarios
   3. “Day in the life” scenarios as intellectual stimuli
   4. Analyzing and acting upon diversified set of saw wave scenarios
10. 1. The Saw Wave Principle Explained
    1. Leaders must understand the saw wave principle
    2. Stylized features of sawtooth wavescapes
    3. Differential development trajectories
    4. New leadership skills for saw wave arenas
    5. Key theses: Understanding the global-Asian saw wave nexus
    6. Aims and plan of book
11. PART I: Developing a Multilevel Understanding of Saw Wavescapes
    1. 2. Sizing up the Global Sawtooth Arena
       1. The root causes of the global financial crisis: Beyond simple explanations
       2. Solution to the global economic crisis: Grooming transformational leaders from cradle to grave
       3. The future socioeconomic development trajectory of the U.S.: From big government to responsible individualism
    2. 3. Fathoming the Sectoral Drivers of Sawtooth Waves
       1. Cutting through the fog of financial war
       2. Mastering crises with the 3-R framework
    3. 4. Uncovering the Cognitive Wellsprings of Global Reversals
       1. Understanding the psychological mainsprings of crises
       2. Analyzing the unintended policy consequences from mental distortions: The dangers of bailouts
12. PART II: Discerning Opportunities and Storm Clouds in Sawtooth Arenas
    1. 5. Discovering the New Geopolitical and Geoeconomic Heartland of the World
       1. Three megatrends
       2. The Pan-Asian arch of growth and prosperity
    2. 6. Using Sawtooth Thinking to Uncover Demographic Inflective Seeds
       1. China's demographic I owe you
       2. Gray outlook for China
       3. Gains from inflective seeds in micromarkets
13. PART III: Appreciating the Intangible Dimension of Sawtooth Arenas
    1. 7. Valuing National Intangible Assets in Saw Wavescapes
       1. Identity
       2. Patriotism
       3. Unity
       4. Ethics
       5. Vitality
    2. 8. Dissecting Cultural “Best Practice” in Sawtooth Arenas
       1. A new key to understanding China's economic miracle
       2. Confucianism and economic success
       3. According virtue the top priority
       4. Confucianism as a source of creativity
       5. Countercultural lessons from Confucius
       6. Building a healthy and vibrant society
       7. A trumpet call to “remnant guides”
14. PART IV: Sawtooth Interviews
    1. 9. Anticipating the Global Spread of Sawtooth Waves
    2. 10. Spotting Bright Spots and Red Lights at Global Business Frontiers
15. Glossary of New Concepts and Terms
16. Copyright