
13
researChing intuition
and firefighting. Low-validity environments in which outcomes are
effectively unpredictable are not conducive to the development of intuitive
expertise, for example, predicting the future value of individual stocks or
long-term forecasting of political events (Kahneman and Klein, 2009).
1.5 e State of Intuition Research
As far as progress in intuition research over the past 10 years is
concerned there have been at least three significant developments.
First, rather than having to rely on vague notions of intuition as a
“capacity for attaining direct knowledge or understanding without the
apparent intrusion of rational t