A method for prognosis
‘A method is required in order to search for the truth about things.’
René Descartes, Discourse on Method for Guiding Reason and Searching for Truth in the Sciences (1637)
Cycles of time, in which things behave in regular ways within specific periods of time, whether seasons, economic waves, human generations or product lifecycles, occur throughout nature and society. The study of time behaviour patterns of systems, entities and population groups provides the futurologist with a rational basis for prognosis. Prognosis is possible because things behave with sufficient regularity over time. The future is simply another phase of time.
But what step-by-step method should be followed in producing prognostic knowledge?