Electric Power Systems

3

Short-Term Load Forecasting

Alexandre P.Alves da Silva

Vitor H. Ferreira

3.1    Introduction

3.2    Data Preprocessing

Standardization and Differencing • Wavelet Filtering

3.3    Input Preselection

3.4    Refining Input Selection for ANNs

Regularization Methods • Bayesian MLP Training • Input Selection by Bayesian Training • Illustrative Results

3.5    MLP Structure Identification in Bayesian Training

3.6    Estimation of Prediction Intervals

Resampling Method • Illustrative Results

3.7    Conclusions

Acknowledgments

Appendix A3.1

References

3.1    Introduction

Operational decisions in power systems, such as unit commitment, economic dispatch, automatic generation control, security assessment, maintenance scheduling, and energy commercialization, ...