Chapter 9 Testing Statistical Hypotheses

 

If one in twenty does not seem high enough odds, we may, if we prefer it, draw the line at one in fifty (the 2 percent point), or one in a hundred (the 1 percent point). Personally, the writer prefers to set a low standard of significance at the 5 percent point, and ignore entirely all results which fail to reach this level. A scientific fact should be regarded as experimentally established only if a properly designed experiment rarely fails to give this level of significance.

– Ronald Aylmer Fisher

9.1 Introduction

The two main tasks of inferential statistics are parameter estimation and testing statistical hypotheses. In this chapter we will focus on the latter.

Although the expositions on estimation and testing are separate, the two inference tasks are highly related, as it is possible to conduct testing by inspecting confidence intervals or credible sets. Both tasks can be unified via the so-called decision-theoretic approach in which ...

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