CHAPTER 10
Why Do So Many Hiring Predictions Fail?
It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.
—Yogi Berra, baseball coach/manager/player
WHICH EXPERTS ARE GOOD AT MAKING PREDICTIONS?
Recruiters have a bad reputation in some circles. A lot of this is due to their inability to accurately predict which hires will perform well. Even worse, the same recruiter who hired your best employee also might have hired a person who is underperforming. These factors make it difficult to tell whether recruiters who are accurate in their predictions got them right because of luck or skill.
Recruiting resembles poker in several respects. I recently had a hard-earned lesson in this when I participated in a small hold’em tournament with about ...
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