Expert Judgment in Project Management: Narrowing the Theory-Practice Gap

Acknowledgments

First and foremost, I would like to acknowledge the continuous and ongoing support of my wife, Anita. Thank you!

This study represents the realization of a research goal developed at an early stage in my dissertation work almost 15 years ago. Even before embarking on my doctoral work as a risk analyst, operations manager, and project management practitioner, I observed firsthand that the practice of expert judgment elicitation was frequently conducted in an ad hoc manner. I knew this practice was fraught with potential errors and biases that would lead to less than desired estimations, forecasts, and predictions. Over the years, I have been able to develop guidelines for the organizations I have been associated with and have ...