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Future Think: How to Think Clearly in a Time of Change
book

Future Think: How to Think Clearly in a Time of Change

by Arnold Brown, Edie Weiner
September 2005
Intermediate to advanced content levelIntermediate to advanced
304 pages
5h 59m
English
Pearson
Content preview from Future Think: How to Think Clearly in a Time of Change

Chapter 9. The Law of Large Numbers

A 2002 article, “The Odds of That,” in the New York Times Sunday Magazine caused quite a stir. Author Lisa Belkin said that people are always finding conspiracies or supernatural coincidences where they may not exist. She quoted Stanford statistician Persi Dianconis, who pointed out that, given the fact that there are 290 million people in the U.S., 290 times a day a one-in-a-million shot will occur. Belkin's article resulted in our receiving phone calls from friends and associates across the country asking, “Isn't that what you guys have always said?”

Well, yes, we have. But we didn't discover this. Neither did Dianconis, nor did Belkin. The Law of Large Numbers has been around for a long time. We learned it ...

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Publisher Resources

ISBN: 013185674XPurchase book