11 Foresight from Hindsight

All greatness is improbable. What’s probable is tedious and petty. —Lao Tzu, Tao Te Ching

“Improbable greatness” is, essentially, what we call innovation today. Any great strategy is improbable. Greatness often lies hidden in an experience, and sometimes it is only revealed in the context of action. This chapter explores how agile approaches to action can yield both success in the present and lessons for future success.

On the Foresight to Insight to Action Cycle, the activities between action and foresight are those of observation, measurement, induction, and learning from experience. What can we learn from our actions to identify new approaches for the future? Thoughtful foresight should include hindsight: ...

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