Index

A

Asian currency crisis and deflation in 1997. See 1997 Asian currency crisis and deflation

B

Bearish divergence
Business cycle, impact on market sectors. See also Intermarket analysis and the business cycle
consumer spending, relative strength of
cyclicals starting to outperform staples
economic cycle, different view of (Stovall’s circle)
interest rate trends
Nasdaq leads market higher during 2003
retail buying
sector leadership moves to consumers and technology
sector rotation within business cycle model supporting data in 2000 favored contraction during 2003 suggest early expansion
smaller stocks lead at bottoms
technology leadership is a good sign
transportation leadership yield curve
another view of
flattens during 2003, 213-214 overview

C

CMR (Morgan Stanley Consumer Index)
Commodity/bond ratio
Commodity divergence
CRB (Commodity Research Bureau)/bond ratio
CRB (Commodity Research Bureau) index
description of
industrial versus agricultural markets rise in early 1993
CYC (Morgan Stanley Cyclical Index)
Cyclical bear markets
Cyclical stocks

D

Davis, Ned
Decoupling, definition of
Dollar bloc countries
Dollar, fall during 2002 boosts commodities
Asian deflation pulls U.S. rates lower
bonds and commodities decouple
commodities
divergence
gain from battle against deflation
inflation
prices and bond yields normally trend together
dollar peak coincides with commodity bottom
dollar top leads to new bull market in gold
global bear market
industrial metals and interest ...

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