ARIMA

ARIMA stands for autoregressive integrated moving average models. Generally, it is defined by the equation ARIMA(p, d, q).

Here,

  • p is the order of the autoregressive model
  • d is the order required for making the series stationary
  • q is the order of moving average

The very first step in ARIMA is to plot the series, as we need a stationary series for forecasting.

So let us first plot the graph of the series by executing the following code:

> PriceData<-ts(StockData$Adj.Close, frequency = 5) 
> plot(PriceData) 

This generates the following plot:

ARIMA

Figure 4.9: Plot of price data

Clearly, upon inspection, the series seems to be nonstationary, so we need to ...

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