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Mastering Tennis Trading: Essential analysis and winning strategies to give you an edge in online tennis trading by Daniel Weston

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At the End of the First Set

Clearly, especially in best of three set matches, winning the first set is a huge advantage as the winner only needs to win one more set to win the match.

But how much of an advantage is it?

If you did a survey of gamblers and pundits, you would probably get a variety of extreme answers from “almost guaranteed to win” to “it’s just one set out of three”. I don’t deal in speculation so I have all the statistics necessary to gauge just how much of an advantage a first set win actually is.

Winning and losing the first set

The results of my calculations are shown in the tables below.

WTA

Winning the first set

Starting price (SP)

Win Percentage when winning the first set

Implied odds

1.01-1.20

96% ...

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