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Mastering Tennis Trading: Essential analysis and winning strategies to give you an edge in online tennis trading by Daniel Weston

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Break Back Percentages

Using my Ultimate In-Play Spreadsheets, I have calculated break back percentages based on the time decay of the set and break back stats, for both the ATP and WTA. I provide analysis of the data for the two tours in turn in this section.

The time decay of the set is measured by the amount of games expired immediately after the break lead occurs. The break back stats are measured by adding the percentage likelihood that the relevant player loses a break lead in a set to the percentage likelihood that their opponent recovers a break deficit in a set (all stats derived from my Ultimate In-Play Spreadsheet).

ATP

Being able to estimate the percentage chances of a break back occurring in a set is a very valuable asset because ...

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