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Mathletics by Wayne L. Winston

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6

 

BASEBALL DECISION-MAKING

During the course of a season, managers make many crucial decisions, including the ones listed below.

  • With a man on first and nobody out should we attempt a sacrifice bunt to advance the runner to second base?
  • With a man on first and one out should we attempt to steal second base?
  • We are the home team and the score is tied in the top of the ninth inning. The opposing team has a man on third base and none out. Should we play the infield in? This increases the chance of a hit (most people think bringing the infield in makes a .250 hitter a .300 hitter), but bringing the infield in ensures that a ground out will not score the runner from third.

Decision-making in baseball, as in all aspects of life and business, involves ...

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