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Mathletics by Wayne L. Winston

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31

 

NBA LINEUP ANALYSIS

In chapter 30 we described the methodology for creating Adjusted +/– ratings. These are helpful to teams in making decisions involving players such as trades and salaries. During the season, however, few players are traded and a team's major concern is how to win more games with their current roster. The most important decisions coaches make during the season are which lineups to play when. For example, should a team try to go small against the 2006–7 Suns' “small ball,” or should they go big and push the ball inside?

On average a team plays 300–600 different lineups during the course of a season. Is there any rhyme or reason to coaches' lineup choices? Lineup ratings can help a team win more games: play better lineups ...

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