
143New Product Development
5. Network analysis. It is an extension of monitoring and a complex analysis technique used in two ways:
(a) as an exploratory forecasting tool to investigate future technologies and capabilities and systems
resulting from new scientic research and (b) as descriptive forecasting tool to dene desired future capa-
bilities and determine what research results are needed to reach a desired system or level of capability.
6. Scenario development. This is a familiar method in NPD forecasting that seeks to describe a
future technology, surrounding events, and the operating environment. Scenarios are based on and
draw from company ...