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Oracles by Donald N. Thompson

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Contents

Part One

Predictions from Markets

1The Mutual Fun Market

2What Are These Prediction Markets?

3Sports and Movie Markets

4Election Markets

5Estimation Markets

6What Can Prediction Markets Replace?

Part Two

What Can Business Markets Do?

7Google

8Best Buy

9The Technology Evangelist

10Boardroom Markets

Part Three

Where Can Markets Take Us?

11Way-Outside-the-Box Markets

Casting Calls and Epidemiology

12Further Outside the Box

Terrorism Markets

13Government Markets

14Long-Term Markets

Part Four

Making Markets Work

15When No One Wants to Know

16More Red Flags Than Beijing

17Finding the Scorpion

18Becoming an Oracle

Postscript and Acknowledgments

The Legal Conundrum Facing US Prediction Markets

Checklist for Starting ...

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