Section 3. What's Next?: Scenarios for the Next Decade

The dominant intellectual strategy that people bring to the future is denial.

Peter Schwartz

As we head into this period of powerful turbulence and significant change, there is a high degree of uncertainty as to precisely how the world will evolve. We are already seeing experimental forms of organizations, increasingly fluid and virtual, coexisting with more traditional and top-down models. Important innovations are emerging faster and from a wider variety of sources than ever before. And our current global governance arrangements (piecemeal at best, incoherent at worst) are proving increasingly inadequate to address the complex challenges of our times—let alone turn them into opportunities. ...

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