724 Principles of Sustainable Energy Systems
© 2008 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC
resource availability are the criteria for this step—at this point, do not consider cost or
whether the necessary technology is available in the market at the current time.
8. Assess development potential: Assess the likelihood of each of the concepts being
developed as modeled within the time frame of the analysis. This can include
trigger analysis, supply chain, manufacturing, competition, government policy,
replacement rate, etc. Rank each feasible possibility as
a. Likely
b. Possible
c. Unlikely
d. No possibility
9. Cost estimates: Assess the relative levelized cost of energy (LCOE) and EROI for
each of the remaining feasible technologies in the context ...