Probability Methods for Cost Uncertainty Analysis, 2nd Edition

To my wife, Maura, and my daughters, Alana and Kirsten. I also dedicate this book

to the memory of my daughter, Katrina, and my parents, Eva and Ralph.

Ad Majorem Dei Gloriam

Paul R. Garvey

To Dr. Stephen and Ruth Book.

Raymond P. Covert

The family of Stephen Book is extremely indebted to Paul R. Garvey and Raymond P.

Covert for enabling Stephen’s research to be published in Section II of this book. Apart

from spending time with his family, working on research was Stephen’s favorite

and consuming activity. His mind was always engaged in solving the next prob-

lem, debunking the latest myth, and saving taxpayers from inefciencies in the next

program.

We hope the incorporation of Stephen’s major papers throughout ...