investments. But complete objectivity is virtually impossible to maintain if
the distribution of costs and beneWts matters. Consequently, many cost±
beneWt studies ignore distributional considerations entirely and attempt to
measure only aggregate present values. Ignoring the distribution problem
does not solve it, however. It merely consigns to cost±beneWt analysis the
more modest task of determining the relative eYciency of government pro-
jects, rather than ranking projects according to their contributions to social
welfare. Perhaps this is all cost±beneWt analysis can hope to achieve.
Chapter 27 explores two fundamental questions relating to the distribu-
tion of costs and beneWts. First, under what conditions can the distribution
question safely be ignored in cost±beneWt analysis? Second, if these condi-
tions do not exist, how should distributional considerations enter into the
analysis? We will consider some suggestions for incorporating the distribu-
tion of the net beneWts that have appeared in the literature. Unfortunately,
none of them avoids the problem of subjectivity. One can almost always
design a set of subjective distributional weights that overwhelm whatever
objective eYciency information a cost±beneWt study might contain, no matter
what approach is taken.
PITFALLS IN COST±BENEFIT ANALYSIS
Chapter 28 concludes Part IV by discussing a number of common pitfalls in
cost±beneWt analysis. It may seem odd to spend time on false claims, but the
sad truth is that public debate on government projects all too often focuses on
irrelevancies and misconceptions. Roland McKean long ago labeled these
errors ``secondary beneWts'' (costs), implying that people Wnd new sources of
beneWts (costs) to add to the true beneWts (costs) in order to make the project
seem all the more attractive (unattractive).
8
Unfortunately, these secondary,
bogus beneWts (costs) can be many times greater than the project's true
beneWts (costs).
We will consider Wve of the more common pitfalls:
1. The chain-reaction game, in which proWts (losses) generated through-
out the economy as a result of a government project are indiscriminately
attached to the beneWts (costs) of the project.
2. The regional multiplier game, in which Keynesian-type multipliers are
used to enhance the beneWts (costs) of the project.
3. The labor game, a variation of (1) and (2) in which the employment
eVects of the project are viewed as one of its major beneWts, perhaps even the
principal beneWt. This error has become a matter of law. Federal and state
legislation often requires that cost±beneWt studies explicitly consider the
8
R. N. McKean, EYciency in Government through Systems Analysis, Wiley, New York,
1958, chaps. 8 and 9.
728 PITFALLS IN COST±BENEFIT ANALYSIS
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