28
COMMON PITFALLS IN COST±
BENEFIT ANALYSIS
THE CHAIN REACTION GAME
THE REGIONAL MULTIPLIER GAME
THE LABOR GAME
PURE DOUBLE COUNTING
THE PUBLIC SECTOR BIAS CHARGE
CONCLUSION
Cost±beneWt analysis may be as much art as science, but any study that
presents a careful discussion of the issues presented in Chapters 24±27Ðthe
public rate of discount, uncertainty, the various measurement problems, and
the distribution of project costs and beneWtsÐwith all assumptions explicitly
stated, cannot help but inform the decision-making process. Many cost±
beneWt studies stray from these central issues, however, and emphasize
other factors that are essentially irrelevant to the fundamental question
which cost±beneWt analysis attempts to answer: Does a particular govern-
ment investment constitute the best possible use of society's scarce resources?
Once the peripheral issues gain prominence, cost±beneWt analysis loses its
ability to discriminate correctly among public investment alternatives.
It is hardly surprising that public forums such as congressional hearings
and the media tend not to emphasize the proper economic issues. They are
fairly technical and often diYcult for the public to understand (with the
possible exception of the distribution question). But since they happen to
be the relevant issues, public discussions of the economic implications of
proposed government projects are often badly misplaced, serving mainly to
reinforce commonly held misconceptions.
819
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