entire output must be produced by a single Wrm. This is why decreasing cost
industries are referred to as ``natural monopolies'' and why they necessarily
violate the technological assumption of well-behaved production required for
a well-functioning competitive market system.
Chapter 9 explores the pareto-optimal conditions for eYcient production
with decreasing cost industries. It shows why the competitive market system
cannot achieve them and considers the pricing and investment rules implied
by the eYciency conditions. The pricing rules imitate standard competitive
principles and are therefore relatively straightforward. The investment rules
are far from standard, however. Investment in decreasing cost industries has
a lumpy, all-or-none quality to it that is absent in the usual marginal invest-
ment analysis applied to the small competitive Wrm. Also, proWtability is not
necessarily a reliable investment guideline for decreasing cost services, and
there may not be any other practicable criteria to determine whether an
investment in these services is worthwhile. As a result, investment decisions
for these industries are frequently among the more diYcult decisions the
government has to make, even under the simplifying assumptions of Wrst-
best theory.
The chapter concludes with a discussion of actual U.S. policy with
respect to the decreasing cost services. Governments in the United States
have not embraced the Wrst-best price and investment decision rules for
decreasing cost services. They tend to favor some form of average cost pricing
and the standard private-sector proWtability criteria for investment decisions,
neither of which is pareto optimal. The policy discussion speculates on the
popularity of these policies and analyzes their properties relative to the Wrst-
best decision rules.
DECREASING COST IN GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
The problems caused by a decreasing cost natural monopoly are directly
related to the particular form of its production function, nothing more.
Therefore, the general equilibrium model required to analyze decreasing cost
production can be extremely simple. There is no need to model explicitly the
interrelationships among consumers or producers, unlike in the analysis of
externalities. Also, the model can exploit the dual dichotomies of all Wrst-best
models. The demand side of the model can be adequately represented by a
single consumer. Were the model to include many consumers and a social
welfare function, the Wrst-order conditions would merely reproduce the inter-
personal equity conditions and the pareto-optimal consumption conditions of
the full model in Chapter 2. Assuming optimal redistributions implies a one-
consumer equivalent economy. Similarly, positing many ``well-behaved''
Wrms would reproduce the standard pareto-optimal production conditions
for those Wrms. Hence, a single producer is also suYcient so long as its
9. THE THEORY OF DECREASING COST PRODUCTION 273
production exhibits increasing returns to scale. Finally, there is no need to
specify N goods and factors. A one-good, one-factor economy is suYcient to
represent increasing returns/decreasing cost production. Consequently, a gen-
eral equilibrium model consisting of one person with one source of (decreasing
cost) production at which a single output is produced by means of a single
input is suYciently general to capture both the nature of the decreasing cost
problem and the decision rules necessary to ensure full pareto optimality.
Keeping the model this simple has the additional advantage of permitting a
two-dimensional geometric analysis, a welcome relief from the notational
complexities of the various externality models. Therefore, let us assume:
1. A single consumer with utility function:
U UX, L (9:1)
where
X the single output.
L labor, the only factor of production.
By the usual convention, L enters Uwith a negative sign (leisure is the
good). The indiVerence curves corresponding to UX, L are represented in
Fig. 9.1.
2. A single Wrm produces X according to the production function:
X fL (9:2)
0
L
X
2
I
0
I
1
I
FIGURE 9.1
274 DECREASING COST IN GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS

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