Chapter Ten: Uncertainty in public health: epidemics
Abstract
Some of the most popular models of the dynamics of epidemics are discussed, and a brief survey of the literature is provided. Most models are modifications of the susceptible–infected–removed model. Simple simulations are carried out. Then, uncertainty is introduced to the models, which leads to the corresponding differential inclusions. The differential inclusion solver is used to calculate the reachable sets and to assess the ranges of the model variables when the uncertain variables are subject to fluctuations.
Keywords
Differential inclusion; Uncertainty; Public health; Reachable set
10.1 Epidemic dynamics
After an epidemic in a human or animal population is detected, an important task ...
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