
10
Crime Prediction
Eugene Tucker, CPP, CFE, CBCP
Contributing author
‘‘What will amount to adequate security varies in each individual case. No case
has determined how many guards might be required or provided any other
specifics as to what constitutes adequate/reasonable security.’’
—Lopez v. McDonald’s, 193 Cal. App. 3d 495 (1987)
This chapter examines crime as an element of hazard identification and provides some
guidelines to predicting its probability and estimating its criticality. With this information,
the security manager will be better equipped to justify the allocation of resources (budget)
to mitigate the effects of these hazards. ‘‘By analyzing ...