8Time Series

Throughout this chapter we shall focus on time series in discrete time; those whose time index c08-i0001 is integer valued; that is, c08-i0002. We shall typically label the observed values of time series as c08-i0003 or c08-i0004, and so on.

We shall assume that our time series is either stationary in some sense or may be reduced to stationarity by a combination of elementary differencing operations and regression trend removal. Two types of stationarity are in common use, second‐order stationarity and strict stationarity. The sequence is said to be second‐order (or wide‐sense) stationary if the first‐ and second‐order moments c08-i0005 and c08-i0006 exist and are finite, with c08-i0007 a constant independent of c08-i0008, and the covariance of and ...

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