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c01 JWBK195-Saettele May 31, 2008 11:15 Printer: Yet to come
The Argument for a Sentiment-Based Approach 5
exhibit the same patterns, on all time frames. This is known as the El-
liott wave principle, or simply the wave principle. In the 1930s, Ralph Nel-
son Elliott discovered that crowd behavior will trend and countertrend
in recognizable patterns. Although he primarily studied the stock mar-
ket, the wave principle can be applied to any freely traded market. The
size of the FX market makes it a perfect candidate for an analysis tech-
nique based on crowd behavior. You will be amazed at the accuracy
with which you can gauge support and resistance and forecast direc-
tion and the extent of the directional move with knowledge of the wave
principle.
Traditional technical indicators such as moving averages and oscilla-
tors aid in identifying the trend but should be used as secondary tools to
sentiment indicators and price patterns. After all, you are trading price, not
the indicator.
The goal of this book is to provide the tools necessary for developing
a top-down, sentiment-based approach to trading and speculation in FX.
I refrain from providing specifics such as entries or risk control because
these are aspects of trading that everyone will approach differently.
REMINISCENCES OF A STOCK OPERATOR
If there is one trading book that has had a profound impact on me, then ...