Writing about the end of the Soviet Union in his book Imperium, the Polish writer Ryszard Kapuscinski observed:
“Just before the breakup of the USSR, the view of that country as a model of the most stable and durable system in the world had gained wide acceptance among Western Sovietologists. There was not one American political scientist who predicted the collapse of the USSR.”
Kapuscinski argued that the process of disintegration had in fact been underway for years, but Western political scientists had “difficulties understanding what this was all about.” He has an additional comment:
“Almost no prognoses about the contemporary world come true. Futurology is in crisis. It has lost its prestige. The human ...