book

Supertrends

by Lars Tvede

February 2020

Beginner to intermediate

304 pages

7h 26m

English

Wiley

Audiobook available

Read now

Unlock full access

Are you a feeler or a thinker?Hedgehogs and foxes – which are best at seeing the future?No! As in never!Our knowledge at double speedThe creative design fieldThe world's a much better place than people think
The West versus the restPopulation growth is actually decreasing rapidlyHuge growth in prosperity continuesA massive elderly boomDepopulation of rural areasIncreased global equality and local inequality – but will this continue?A more peaceful worldThe lost billion people – the world's biggest problem?
CRISPR – the new genetic word processingNew genetically engineered speciesRecreation of extinct species – the real Jurassic ParkTomorrow's genetically modified humansA healthier, safer worldRevolutions in the fight against cancerNew cells for old livesWearables, self-diagnoses, biohacking, and lifestyle medicineThe intelligent healthcare of the future
From exceptional to magicalBell's Law of new computer classesCloud computing and the as-a-service movementAI – the career cul-de-sac that suddenly got hotIoT – nerve fibres for the mechanical worldBig data = big dealSmart robots – the new ecosystemSmart remote control – the magic wands of realityQuantum computers – billions of times fasterVR – dream worlds for realAR – Pokémon GO on steroidsAmbient user experience – the frictionless total experiencesCyberattack – crime-as-a-service and lots more besidesThe new stalker economy
Fossil fuels – the culmination is approachingVast, constantly growing reservesNuclear power – a renaissance on the way?Nuclear fusion – the ultimate energy solution
Innovation, dear friends. Innovation!Ideas – the ultimate resourceMeat produced without animalsGreater prosperity, better environmentGlobal warming in perspectiveThe world is actually getting greenerThe sixth mass extinction?
Geosocialisation. Who – and where! – you areThe e-commerce revolution – far from overInfluencer marketingThe wild decentralised autonomous organisationsBlockchain – the Internet of ValueThe rating economy – good for markets and cultureThe global village and its new cyber rock starsShare, care, and save (sharing economy) – hot, hot, hotExponential organisations: big money!
The transport of the future – faster and more flexibleInnovation in the construction sectorTomorrow's jet-set nomads

The experience economy – all the world becomes a stageThe changeable idea of prestigeSelf-realisation – the service in which you are the productInnovation and entrepreneurship – self-realisation that gets cheaperDo-it-yourself and maker movements – working for funThe human cloud – total transformation of the labour marketMore backsourcingBespoke mediaMulti-identities are more acceptableIntelligence amplification – better, more flexible education
Impulsive organisationsConformist organisationsAchievement organisationsPluralist organisationsEvolutionary organisationsNew technologies create new forms of managementThe new information paradigm: seek–sense–shareWhat should be kept permanent and what should be done flexibly?Delegation – activate the staffInvolvement – make use of your meta-organisationInclusion: mobilise the whole world for your projectAlgorithm-based management versus human management
Three social standard patterns that often undermine civilisationsThe future welfare society – pyramid states or agile app stores?The battle for top–down management and decentralisationOpenness or closedness?The information problem in public managementGovernment as a platform: small government – big servicesThe growing attraction of basic incomeValue-based public management – good or bad?

Content preview from Supertrends

8.THE TRANSPORT, HOUSES, AND CITIES OF THE FUTURE

Housing, local environment, and transport play a major role in everyone's lives – in mine too. Even as a student at the Danish Royal Veterinary and Agricultural University and Copenhagen Business School, in my spare time I would often construct cardboard models of my dream houses and, to stop myself from falling asleep in my lectures, I frequently sat drawing houses. A number of years later, when I could finally afford something resembling what I had dreamed about, I spent a lot of time on interior design. Similarly, I have a great love of cars. So, I am equally interested in how these areas will develop in the future. What I think is especially interesting is that new modes of transport often help shape new structures in terms of housing and urbanisation. For example, cars created opportunities for detached houses in suburbs, and it is micromobility that now reduces the number of cars in metropolitan areas, freeing up space for pavement cafés, just as electric cars will reduce urban noise. Together, this will make cities more attractive as places to live and, as a result, people will move back to cities. Then funnily enough, when autonomous cars later make their breakthrough, they will once again lead to detached-house living, just as the first cars did. After all, there is certainly nothing wrong with snuggling up at night in a home close to nature.