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The Investor's Guide to Active Asset Allocation by Martin Pring

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12Sector Performance through the Six Stages

Introduction

Stage I

Stage II

Stage II

Stage IV

Stage V

Stage VI

Sector Performance as the Stages Progress

Introduction

In this chapter we are going to examine the performance of the market sectors for individual stages as identified by the barometers. Unfortunately, historical data on the 10 S&P Sectors (Utilities, Telecommunications, Financials, Consumer Staples, Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, Technology, Industrials, Materials, and Energy) only go back to 1989. At first glance this may seem like a long time, but it only covers two recessions and the tail end of a secular deflationary trend. In our view this is an inadequate time period in which to assess true success or failure because we ...

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