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The UK Stock Market Almanac 2016: Seasonality analysis and studies of market anomalies to give you an edge in the year ahead by Stephen Eckett

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February market

Market performance this month

February is the third strongest month; but it hasn’t always been so strong, as just seven years ago it was ranked ninth. The market has risen in February in 61% of all years, with an average return of 1.1%. In fact, the market has only fallen twice in February in the last 13 years – and is currently on a six-year winning streak (the longest for any month). The average chart shows that the market tends to rise for the first two-and-a-half weeks and then drifts lower for the rest of the month.

With January, February is the best month for mid-cap stocks relative to the large caps. Since 2000, on average the FTSE 250 has outperformed the FTSE 100 by 1.7 percentage points in this month.

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