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The UK Stock Market Almanac 2016: Seasonality analysis and studies of market anomalies to give you an edge in the year ahead by Stephen Eckett

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October market

Market performance this month

October is a puzzling month for investors. On the one hand it has a reputation for volatility – and this is well deserved. Since 1984, seven of the ten largest one-day falls in the market have occurred in October! The largest fall occurred on 20 October 1987, when the FTSE 100 fell 12.2%. And, additional bad news for investors, is that since 1970 the average return in the month has been just 0.3%, ranking it 9th of the 12 months. However, things have changed in recent years.

Although the market occasionally suffers large falls in this month (as can be seen in the accompanying chart), for the most part the market posts a positive return. In fact, in the last 22 years the market has only fallen five ...

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