Chapter 9

Untangling Decision-Making's Hidden Path

IN THIS CHAPTER

Bullet Seeing how cognitive biases distort reality

Bullet Avoiding information overload

Bullet Working with storytelling

Bullet Navigating media coverage

Perception is a tricky thing. In Chapters 2 and 5, I talk a bit about how we humans construct our own reality and how subjective and biased our individual point of view actually is. This chapter is more about our perceptual skills. Here you'll discover that your personal perception of financial markets is often quite biased and easily influenced — involuntarily and unintentionally, to be sure. This does help to prove my contention, however, that human decision-making processes are inherently susceptible to failure. For you to be able to make good, reliable trading decisions, you must understand the implications of letting cognitive biases, emotionally-laden stories, and information overload affect your trading behavior.

Recognizing Systematic Perceptual Disorders

Do you know how human decision-making processes occur? I imagine it as follows: You collect information from a variety of sources. ...

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