¶67 Running Average Velocity
...a team has established its initial velocity (see Notes on Velocity). Velocity is likely to change over successive ¶46 Sprints. It is essential to maintain a reliable Sprint forecast.
You want the velocity to reflect the team’s current capacity, but it takes time for the velocity to stabilize after a change.
In most cases, a team’s velocity mirrors its past performance (see ¶66 Yesterday’s Weather). One-time situations may cause a surprisingly large change in velocity. The velocity will probably return to its ...
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