Spikes and How to Manage Them
One principle of statistics is that within a range of values, notably unusual instances should be removed. These spikes distort the average, whether simple or exponential. For example, in a series of stock ending prices within a trend, if the normal breadth of trading is between $25 and $30 per share, a one-time spike to $50 should not be considered typical.
To consider something a spike, it should be extraordinarily unusual and it must not repeat. It is an aberration in every sense, and in order to maintain accuracy of a statistical analysis, it should not be considered.
However, a spike in a stock trend also presents potential problems that should not be ignored. For example, is the spike truly an aberration, ...
Get A Technical Approach To Trend Analysis: Practical Trade Timing for Enhanced Profits now with the O’Reilly learning platform.
O’Reilly members experience books, live events, courses curated by job role, and more from O’Reilly and nearly 200 top publishers.