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A Technical Approach To Trend Analysis: Practical Trade Timing for Enhanced Profits by Michael C. Thomsett

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Dividend per Share and Increased Dividends

A starting point in quantifying fundamentals is an analysis of the dividend trend. Dividend analysis involves several components and is not as simple as it seems at first glance. As one analyst has stated, “The harder we look at the dividends picture, the more it seems like a puzzle, with pieces that just do not fit together.”2 This refers to the complexity of how dividends affect corporate cash flow and investor perception of a stock’s value; some discount the value of dividends, whereas others view dividends as a major determinant in stock selection. Without any doubt, the realm of dividend policies and payments does define fundamental value, and dividend trends should be analyzed carefully as part ...

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