July 2019
Beginner
256 pages
6h 59m
English
Content preview from Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way
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18WHEN DATA DOESN’T CONVINCE YOU
In the previous chapter, we used Bayesian reasoning to reason about two hypotheses from an episode of The Twilight Zone:
- H The fortune-telling Mystic Seer is supernatural.
The fortune-telling Mystic Seer isn’t supernatural, just lucky.
We also learned how to account for skepticism by changing the prior odds ratio. For example, if you, like me, believe that the Mystic Seer definitely isn’t psychic, then you might want to set the prior odds extremely low—something like 1/1,000,000.
However, depending on your level ...
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I'm always learning. So when I got on to O'Reilly, I was like a kid in a candy store. There are playlists. There are answers. There's on-demand training. It's worth its weight in gold, in terms of what it allows me to do.