Best Possible Outcome

CHAPTER 17ORIENT YOUR TEAM

The facts available have been presented to the team. Not everything is known, but the ambiguity has been cut through and the situation is becoming clearer. Now is the time to assess the effect on the organisation.

This stage takes account of what has been observed and orients the organisation to the problem. The team now analyses the facts and develops an understanding of how the situation may affect the organisation. They orient the problem by predicting the most likely and worst-case outcomes before developing strategic objectives.

They anticipate how the organisation is likely to be impacted and what they must do, not only to survive the crisis, but to achieve the best possible outcome.

SCENARIO PLANNING

In scenario planning, the facts are used to predict how the situation will evolve. It is time to draw on your team's diverse backgrounds and experience in order to generate realistic scenarios you can plan against.

It is a way of orienting thinking based on the current facts and to focus decision-making on the problem and how it impacts your organisation.

MILITARY INTELLIGENCE PROCESS

Military intelligence takes facts and generates two scenarios — a most likely case and a worst-case (referred to as most dangerous). This allows military tacticians to plan against two outcomes — the most probable one and the one that would be most dangerous ...