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China 2020 by Kerry Brown

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3

The Chinese economy in the next decade

Peter Wood

The best way to predict the future is to invent it.

(Alan Kay)

Opening the US-China Strategic Economic Dialogue in June 2009, the head of the Chinese delegation, Dai Bingguo, set out the Chinese leadership’s key priorities: ‘China’s core interests are first the maintenance of the basic system and national security, second national sovereignty and territorial integrity, and third the continued stable development of economy and society.’

Starting from this clear statement of China’s current strategic priorities, in this chapter I will explore what it means to talk about China’s future and what core elements we need to keep at the forefront of our minds as we do so. In sum this involves first ...

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