May 2012
Beginner to intermediate
256 pages
6h 45m
English
Great innovations should not be forced on slender majorities.
—Thomas Jefferson
Innovation always takes us by surprise. When the first, brick-sized Motorola cell phones were introduced in 1983, even the most ambitious projections were
for fifty million phones in use in the year 2008. By 2010, however, more than five billion cell numbers were provisioned and in use around the globe. Fifty million to five billion is not a rounding error. How could we consistently be so wrong about the future? Because what we try to predict is the trajectory of technology rather than the trajectory of behavior. I’m reminded of that each ...
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