Chapter 5

Reactive Approaches of Probability Update Based on Bayesian Methods

N. Khakzad1, H. Yu2, N. Paltrinieri3,4,  and F. Khan5     1Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands     2University of Tasmania, Launceston, Australia     3Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim, Norway     4SINTEF Technology and Society, Trondheim, Norway     5Memorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, NL, Canada


Dynamic safety analysis in chemical and process facilities is necessary to prevent unwanted events that may cause catastrophic accidents. Probability updating and adapting of stochastic events and dynamic processes, which evolve over time, are the key to dynamic safety analysis. Conventional risk assessment ...

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