Chapter 3Probabilistic Indicators for the Assessment of Reliability and Security of Future Power Systems
Bart W. Tuinema1, Nikoleta Kandalepa2 and José Luis Rueda-Torres3
1Researcher of Intelligent Electrical Power Grids, Department of Electrical Sustainable Energy, Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
2Grid Strategist, Asset Management, TenneT TSO B.V., Arnhem, The Netherlands
3Assistant professor of Intelligent Electrical Power Grids, Department of Electrical Sustainable Energy, Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands
3.1 Introduction
Current developments in the power system put increasing stresses on the transmission network. The transition towards a renewable energy supply, the integration of large-scale renewable energy sources (RES) and the liberalisation of the electricity market are some of the challenges for the transmission network. At the same time, the lowest cost of an ageing transmission network is strived for. To prevent large blackouts, reliability analysis and reliability management are of the utmost importance. While deterministic approaches and criteria have been used effectively in the past, probabilistic methods will be increasingly applied in the future as these provide more insight into the reliability of the transmission network.
This chapter describes how probabilistic reliability analysis is used to study the reliability of large transmission networks. We discuss how probabilistic reliability analysis is related to deterministic ...
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