Enabling Healthcare 4.0 for Pandemics

4Rapid Forecasting of Pandemic Outbreak Using Machine Learning

Sujata Chauhan^1*, Madan Singh^2† and Puneet Garg^3‡

¹Dronacharya Govt. College, Gurugram, India

²KIET Group of Institutions, Ghaziabad, India

³J.C. Bose University of Science and Technology, YMCA, Faridabad, India

Abstract

Humans have faced a number of pandemics since the dawn of civilization, but today what we are facing is an invisible enemy novel COVID-19, causing the pandemic globally at an alarming rate, bringing a devastating effect on our lives and impacting our economy drastically. The infection in humans by COVID-19 was thought to be originally from bats perhaps as zoonotic agent (from animal to human) but the rapid increase in the figure of cases in Wuhan city and globally even after shutting the market off and quarantine whole city, indicated an alternative mode of transmission from human-to-human which is rarely observed in nature. The main objective of this chapter is to predict a rapid forecasting of pandemic outbreak using machine learning approaches. The chapter is based on a preliminary estimation about the disease, spread of disease across the globe, the possible ways of treatment, and prevention in its outbreak which makes use of technologies like machine learning which may prove beneficial to save the human race from pandemics like COVID19 in the future.

Keywords: COVID-19, India, rural areas, urban areas, machine learning

4.1 Introduction

Our civilization has faced a number of epidemic outbreaks ...