August 2011
Beginner
547 pages
16h 12m
English
| Possible return % | Likelihood | Probability % |
|---|---|---|
14
|
Normally likely |
30
|
8
|
Most likely |
50
|
3
|
Meagrely likely |
18
|
−2
|
Least likely |
2
|
Solution
Expected return = (0.14 × .30) + (0.08 ×.50) + (0.03 × 0.18) + (−0.02 × 0.02)
= 0.042 + 0.040 + 0.0054 + -0.0004 = 0.087 = 8.7%
| Probability % | Cash flow Rs |
|---|---|
40
|
2,00,000
|
30
|
5,00,000
|
30
|
3,00,000
|
Find the expected return and the variation in terms of standard deviation.
Solution
Expected return = (0.40 × 2,00,000) + (0.30 × 5,00,000) + (0.30 × 3,00,000) ...
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