Future Savvy: Identifying Trends to Make Better Decisions, Manage Uncertainty, and Profit from Change

Further Reading

The field of forecasting and future studies is vast. This partial list

focuses just on key texts helpful in assessing forecasts and works

specifically mentioned in the text.

Ascher, W., Forecasting: An Appraisal for Policy Makers and Plan-

ners (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1978).

Bell, W., Foundations of Futures Studies (Edison, NJ: Transaction

Press, 1996).

Chan Kim, W., & Mauborgne, R., “Charting Your Company’s Fu-

ture.” Harvard Business Review (May-June, 2002).

Clarke, I.F., The Pattern of Expectation 1644-2001 (London:

Jonathan Cape, 1979).

Courtney, H. et al., “Strategy Under Uncertainty,” Harvard Business

Review (November-December, 1997).

Courtney, H., 20/20 Foresight (Boston: HBS Press, 2001).

Day, G., & Schoemaker, P., “Scanning the Periphery.” Harvard

Business Review (November-December, 2005).

De Geus, A., The Living Company (Boston: HBS Press, 1997).

Duncan, N., “Why Can’t We Predict?” New Scientist, 136(1841)

(October, 1992).

Gibbons, P. L., “The Forecast Filter.” AMS Catalyst (Spring, 2002).

Glenn, J., & Gordon, T. (Eds.), Futures Research Methodology, v2.0

(CD-ROM) (New York: American Council for the United Nations

University, Millennium Project, 2003).

285

Hamel, G., & Prahalad, C.K., Competing for the Future (Boston:

HBS Press, 1994).

Hamel, G., & Prahalad, C.K., “Strategic Intent.” Harvard Business

Review (May-June, 1989).

Hines, A., “A Checklist for Evaluating Forecasts.” The Futurist

(November-December, 1995).

Hines, A., & Bishop, P., Thinking about the Future, Guidelines for

Strategic Foresight (Washington, DC: Social Technologies, 2007).

James, J., Thinking in the Future Tense (New York: Simon & Schus-

ter, 1996).

Jervis, R., Systemic Effects (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press,

1997).

Kleiner, A., “The Man Who Saw the Future.” Strategy+Business

(Spring, 2003).

Kleiner, A., “Consequential Heresies.” Global Business Network

(1989).

Kleiner, A., “The End of the Official Future.” Garbage Magazine

(March-April, 1992).

Liotta, P., & Somes, T., “The Art of Reperceiving.” Naval War Col-

lege Review (Autumn, 2003).

Mahaffie, J., “Why Forecasts Fail.” American Demographics (March,

1995).

Paulos, J.A., A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper (New York:

Basic Books, 1996).

Rittel, H., & Webber, M., “Dilemmas in a General Theory of Plan-

ning.” Policy Sciences, 4 (1973).

Rogers, E., Diffusion of Innovations (New York: Free Press, 1962).

Schnaars, S., Megamistakes (New York: Free Press, 1989).

Schwartz, P., The Art of the Long View (New York: Doubleday, 1991).

Schwartz, P., Leyden, P., & Hyatt, J., The Long Boom: A Vision for the

Coming Age of Prosperity (New York: Perseus Publishing, 1999).

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FUTURE SAVVY

Sherden, W., The Fortune Sellers (New York: John Wiley & Sons,

1998).

Scott Armstrong, J., Long-Range Forecasting, 2nd ed. (New York:

John Wiley & Sons, 1985).

Seidensticker, B., Futurehype: The Myths of Technology Change (San

Francisco: BK Books, 2006).

Slaughter, R., The Knowledge Base of Futures Studies (Foresight In-

ternational, 2005).

van der Heijden, K., Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation

(New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2005).

van der Heijden, K., Bradfield, R., Burt, G., Cairns, G., & Wright, G.,

The Sixth Sense (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2002).

Wachs, M., “When Planners Lie with Numbers.” Journal of the

American Planning Association, 55 (1989).

Wachs, M., “Forecasting vs Envisioning,” Journal of the American

Planning Association, 67 (2001).

Wack, P., “Scenarios: Unchartered Waters Ahead.” Harvard Business

Review (September-October, 1985).

Wack, P., “Scenarios: Shooting the Rapids.” Harvard Business Re-

view (November-December, 1985).

Walt, S., “The Hidden Nature of Systems.” The Atlantic Monthly

(September, 1998).

Weiner, E., & Brown A., An Insider’s Guide to the Future (New

York: WEB, 1997).

Weiner, E., & Brown, A., Future Think (Upper Saddle River, NJ:

Prentice Hall, 2005).

FURTHER READING

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