Chapter 1Introduction
The most widely used option model is the Black and Scholes model. Although there are some shortcomings, the model is appreciated by many professional option traders and investors because of its simplicity, but also because, in many circumstances, it does generate a fair value for option prices in all kinds of markets.
The main shortcomings, most of which will be discussed later, are: the model assumes a geometric Brownian motion where the market might deviate from that assumption (jumps); it assumes a normal distribution of daily (logarithmic) returns of an asset or Future while quite often there is a tendency towards a distribution with high peaks around the mean and fat tails; it assumes stable volatility while the market is characterised by changing (stochastic) volatility regimes; it also assumes all strikes of the options have the same volatility; it doesn't apply skew (adjustment of option prices) in the volatility smile/surface, and so on.
So in principle there may be a lot of caveats on the Black and Scholes model. However, because of its use by many market participants (with adjustments to make up for the shortcomings) in combination with its accuracy on many occasions, it may remain the basis option model for pricing options for quite some time.
This book aims to explore and explain the ins and outs of the Black and Scholes model (to be precise, the Black '76 model on Futures, minimising the impact of interest rates and leaving out dividends). ...
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