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India and Global Climate Change by Michael A. Michael A. Toman

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CHAPTER 10

Energy Economy ModelApplications: Long-TermGreenhouse Gas EmissionsTrends and Mitigation Costs

P. R. Shukla and Ashish Rana

NOTWITHSTANDING IMPROVEMENTS in the efficiency of energy technologies, the consumption of commercial energy (Shukla et al. 1999) and emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in India during the past three decades have grown at rates that are higher than the growth rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This is primarily attributable to structural transformations of three kinds: (a) a decline in the share of agriculture in total GDP and the enhanced share of industry and services sectors, (b) a shift in the transport sector from rail to road and from mass transport to personal transport vehicles, and (c) an enhanced ...

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