Itanium Will Quickly Spread into Technical Computing Environments

While predictions of the speed and steepness of an adoption curve are always tricky, it's at least more of a science than an art, as there are historical trends to look back upon. HPTC is a market segment that embraces change for the reasons outlined in this chapter, and our goal is to move people working with HPTC from RISC-based system to Itanium-based systems in no more than two to three years.

If you look at Figure 5-3, you'll see that Itanium-based system orders in the HPTC market are predicted to surpass RISC systems in 2003, tracking Itanium availability in midrange and enterprise platforms.

Figure 5-3. Market Sales of RISC versus Itanium Architecture

We're predicting that ...

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