Chapter 9. LED Lighting Today and Tomorrow

The future of the LED is bulb is, to some extent, already determined. If Haitz’s Law holds true, the technology will become increasingly affordable and, following that, the lamps will become ever more popular. With clear advantages over both incandescent and CFL lighting, LEDs will likely be extremely widespread in four to five years and the other two will continue to wane. The competitors won’t ever go away—for example, Edison and Marconi-style bulbs are available in delightfully old-timey versions—but they will be increasingly relegated to specialty uses, in favor of more efficient technology.

A commonly held belief among people in the industry is that the explosion in growth will come when LED bulbs ...

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