THE TRADE BALANCE AND EXCHANGE RATES
149
rate attracts hot money and also increases the likelihood of
ORIGINAL
SIN
. When
a national currency cannot be used by local firms or the government to borrow
abroad, it suffers from original sin.
29
In such a situation, investors who find the
country economically promising must borrow in a foreign currency such as the
dollar or borrow short term because the domestic capital market lacks sufficient
depth. When a firm borrows in dollars to finance a project that generates INR, a
subsequent depreciation can lead to bankruptcy. Investments suffer from a cur-
rency mismatch, and when firms see ...
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